It is easy to imagine that the mainstream high-bandwidth applications will be video-oriented with a purely commercial basis. But I think it likely that there will always be a sort of Frontier Internet, where the ferment of new ideas brews best, while other networks cater to the more market-driven mass of usage of what will by then be “conventional multimedia.”
Predictor: Jipguep, Jean
Prediction, in context:Jean Jipguep, chairman of the International Telecommunication Union Board, delivered the keynote address at the Internet Society’s 1995 International Networking Conference June 27-30. Jipguep says: ”When we examine the relations between the technology and the information exchange phenomenon we find that, oddly enough, the most exciting developments in information sharing have bypassed the Internet’s own standardization process: Gopher and World Wide Web both were independent achievements, although they rely upon the connectivity services of the Internet. Can this kind of dynamic be maintained in the GII [Global Information Infrastructure]? It is easy to imagine that the mainstream high-bandwidth applications will be video-oriented with a purely commercial basis. But I think it likely that there will always be a sort of Frontier Internet, where the ferment of new ideas brews best, while other networks cater to the more market-driven mass of usage of what will by then be ‘conventional multimedia.’ Undoubtedly the Internet will continue to have a great deal of influence and will evolve … The theme ‘The Internet: Towards a Global Information Infrastructure’ is a challenge to retain the character of the Internet in the evolution of a GII where the information superstructure will be more important than the infrastructure.”
Date of prediction: January 1, 1995
Topic of prediction: Getting, Sharing Information
Subtopic: General
Name of publication: ISOC INET '95 (conference)
Title, headline, chapter name: The Global Telecommunication Infrastructure and the Information Society
Quote Type: Direct quote
Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://www.isoc.org/HMP/PLENARY/L1-6/html/paper.html
This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Anderson, Janna Quitney