Elon University
The prediction, in brief:

Diffusion of Internet access via ISDN would accelerate if all regions adopted aggressive ISDN pricing.

Predictor: Gillett, Sharon Eisner

Prediction, in context:

Sharon Eisner Gillett made the following remarks in a research presentation at INET ’95, the Internet Society’s 1995 International Networking Conference in Honolulu, Hawaii, June 27-30. At the time, she was completing her MS in MIT’s Technology and Policy Program and her MBA from MIT’s Sloan School of Management. She had spent the past three years as a research assistant with the Research Program on Communications Policy and the Telemedia, Networks, and Systems Group of MIT’s Laboratory for Computer Science. Her research was focused on telecommunications economics, Internet access, and universal service. From 1982-92 she had worked at Bolt Beranek & Newman Communications Corp. and Thinking Machines Corp. She says: ”Customers may be asking for high-speed Internet over cable, but unless the local cable company decides it wants to play, Internet providers have no power to offer this service. The situation is captured well by this quote from a recent newswire story: ‘It takes a lot of cable bandwidth…to run a great deal of data quickly down the pipeline,’ said Albert Young, a product manager at Cox Communications, one of the nation’s largest cable system operators. ‘You could use that more profitably for a video channel.’ [Bloomberg Newswire, Nov. 1994] For ISDN, the local telephone company’s tariffs can serve a similar blocking function … Not surprisingly, companies offering Internet connections over ISDN are typically found in the regions with reasonable ISDN tariffs. Diffusion of Internet access via ISDN would accelerate if all regions adopted aggressive ISDN pricing.”

Date of prediction: June 1, 1995

Topic of prediction: Information Infrastructure

Subtopic: Pipeline/Switching/Hardware

Name of publication: ISOC INET '95 (conference)

Title, headline, chapter name: Encouraging Cable and ISDN Internet Access

Quote Type: Direct quote

Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://www.isoc.org/HMP/PAPER/086/txt/paper.txt

This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Anderson, Janna Quitney