These days, it seems like everyone with a server and a modem is … greedily eyeing the Great UnWired, envisioning humongous dollar signs. Analysts project the commercial online market will grow to 10 million people by the end of 1995.
Predictor: Nollinger, Mark
Prediction, in context:In a 1995 article in Wired magazine, Mark Nollinger writes: ”These days, it seems like everyone with a server and a modem is … greedily eyeing the Great UnWired, envisioning humongous dollar signs. Analysts project the commercial online market will grow to 10 million people by the end of 1995, a number expected to more than double in the next two years as new players enter the fray. The Number One contender – that little start-up out of Redmond, Wash. – has a slight advantage over its rivals: When Windows 95 makes its debut (supposedly by the time you read this), untold millions of PC owners will be able to log on to The Microsoft Network with a mouse click. AT&T Corp., no slouch itself when it comes to marketing prowess, is also gearing up to push its Interchange Online Network (which already exists as a kind of host network for independent services) to a customer list 80 million strong.”
Date of prediction: September 1, 1995
Topic of prediction: Information Infrastructure
Subtopic: Number of Users
Name of publication: Wired
Title, headline, chapter name: America, Online! America Online Has Been on a Rocket Ride, Now it Would Like to Morph Into an ‘Interactive Service Company’ Before Microsoft and the Web Eat its Lunch
Quote Type: Direct quote
Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://www.wired.com/wired/archive/3.09/aol_pr.html
This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Stotler, Larry