Even when phone calls are fixed-fee, people do not talk on the phone all day … However, there is a fear that these sorts of assumptions about human behavior will not translate into the computer environment.
Predictor: Clark, David D.
Prediction, in context:David D. Clark stated the following in a presentation at the MIT workshop on Internet Economics in March 1995: ”… Even when phone calls are fixed-fee, people do not talk on the phone all day. This sort of observation allows telephone providers some confidence in provisioning based on observed behavior, and offering pricing structures that are not cost-related. However, there is a fear that these sorts of assumptions about human behavior will not translate into the computer environment.”
Biography:David D. Clark was a senior research scientist at MIT’s Laboratory for Computer Science. (Pioneer/Originator.)
Date of prediction: March 1, 1995
Topic of prediction: Information Infrastructure
Subtopic: Cost/Pricing
Name of publication: The Journal of Electronic Publishing
Title, headline, chapter name: A Model for Cost Allocation and Pricing in the Internet
Quote Type: Direct quote
Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://www.press.umich.edu/jep/works/ClarkModel.html
This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Catalfumo, Cara J.