The entertainment, telephone, cable-TV and computer companies will “stumble all over themselves to stake a claim in the Internet, a marketplace they do not really understand.”
Predictor: Kleinrock, Leonard
Prediction, in context:In a 1994 article for U.S. News & World Report, Vic Sussman quotes Leonard Kleinrock, an Internet pioneer then chairman of UCLA’s computer science department. Susman writes:”Leonard Kleinrock, one of the Internet’s original architects, now chairman of UCLA’s computer science department, says the entertainment, telephone, cable-TV and computer companies will ‘stumble all over themselves to stake a claim in the Internet, a marketplace they do not really understand.'”
Biography:Leonard Kleinrock published the first paper on packet-switching theory in the RLE Quarterly Progress Report while at MIT in 1961. He established the Network Measurement Center at UCLA and worked in the area of digital networks. He also published a comprehensive look at digital networks in his book “Communication Nets.” He developed the ARPANET network with Lawrence Roberts. In 1969, Kleinrock’s NMC team connected an SDS Sigma 7 computer to an Interface Messenger Processor, creating the first node on the ARPANET, the first computer to connect to the Internet. Kleinrock’s team used the early system to iron out the initial design and performance issues on the world’s first packet-switched network. (Pioneer/Originator.)
Date of prediction: December 1, 1994
Topic of prediction: Economic structures
Subtopic: General
Name of publication: U.S. News & World Report
Title, headline, chapter name: The Internet Will Gain Popularity, Problems
Quote Type: Partial quote
Page number or URL of document at time of study:
Vol. 117; Page 76
This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Krout, Kevin M.