With the growing use and falling cost of fiber-optics, sending high-resolution video at a hundred million characters per second might someday cost no more than a long-distance phone call costs today.
Predictor: Dertouzos, Michael
Prediction, in context:In a 1991 article for Technology Review, MIT researcher/administrator Michael Dertouzos writes: ”Phone companies should also establish aggressive and accessible pricing policies: With the growing use and falling cost of fiber-optics, sending high-resolution video at a hundred million characters per second might someday cost no more than a long-distance phone call costs today.”
Biography:Michael Dertouzos was director of the MIT Laboratory for Computer Science and the author of “The Unfinished Revolution.” He led a project intended to make computers adapt to people. He outlined a comprehensive proposal for a national information “infrastructure” in a 1991 article for Technology Review. (Research Scientist/Illuminator.)
Date of prediction: January 1, 1991
Topic of prediction: Information Infrastructure
Subtopic: Cost/Pricing
Name of publication: Technology Review
Title, headline, chapter name: Building the Information Marketplace
Quote Type: Direct quote
Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://web3.infotrac.galegroup.com/itw/infomark/237/651/57953601w3/purl=rc1_EAIM_0_A9329382&dyn=5!xrn_1_0_A9329382?sw_aep=ncliveec
This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Dube, Kristin