There will be critical issues of interoperability within and between our organizations and their knowledge domains. The ever-greater value derived from online, interactive work within a hyperdocument environment will require a significantly higher degree of standardization in document architecture and usage conventions than heretofore contemplated.
Predictor: Engelbart, Douglas
Prediction, in context:In a 1992 article titled “Toward High-Performance Organizations,” Douglas Engelbart writes: ”More and more intelligence and dialog records will end up usefully recorded and integrated; participants will steadily develop skills and adopt practices that increase the utility they derive from the increased content, while at the same time making their contributions more complete and valuable. Generally, I expect people to be surprised by how much value will be derived from the use of these future tools, by the ways the value is derived, and by how ‘natural and easy to use’ the practices and tools will seem after they have become well established (even though they may initially be viewed as unnatural and hard to learn) … Furthermore, there will be critical issues of interoperability within and between our organizations and their knowledge domains. The ever-greater value derived from online, interactive work within a hyperdocument environment will require a significantly higher degree of standardization in document architecture and usage conventions than heretofore contemplated.”
Biography:Douglas Engelbart, the inventor of the computer mouse, spent 40 years predicting, designing and implementing the future of organizational computing. In 1962, while at the Stanford Research Institute, he produced the paper “Augmenting Human Intellect: A Conceptual Framework,” from which came the concepts of augmenting human intellect, improvement infrastructure, co-evolution of artifacts with social-cultural language-practices and bootstrapping. His Augmentation Research Center developed an array of important human-computer interface solutions, including hypermedia. In 1989 he co-founded the Bootstrap Institute, a non-profit organization “in a quest to form strategic alliances aimed at improving organizations and society at large.” (Pioneer/Originator.)
Date of prediction: June 1, 1992
Topic of prediction: Information Infrastructure
Subtopic: General
Name of publication: Bootstrap Institute
Title, headline, chapter name: Toward High-Performance Organizations: A Strategic Role for Groupware
Quote Type: Direct quote
Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://www.bootstrap.org/augment/AUGMENT/132811.html
This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Garber, Adam