Elon University
The prediction, in brief:

Security architects are trying to come up with a 100-year flood-plain design that’s incredibly complex – it’s sort of like trying to start a horse race before the horses are even born. We’ll solve the security problem when someone just comes along and says, “Here’s what we’re doing, do you want to buy some?” I think that’ll happen the next three or four years.

Predictor: Lynch, Daniel C.

Prediction, in context:

In an interview for Telecommunications magazine, Martha Strizich talks with InterOp and NetWorld founder Daniel Lynch about the future of networking. Strizich asks Lynch what challenges he sees facing the internetworking idustry. Lynch says: ”The biggest issue right now in internetworking is security. All these businesses who bought TCP/IP and NetWare are running big private internetworks all over the world, but they don’t talk to each other. Why? Because of security. We’ve built all these different security technologies designed to keep a moat around corporate data assets, but they make it pretty much impossible for two different companies to have any transactions back and forth. Within companies, everything is digital. But when you cross the boundaries between companies, everyone’s still back to paper. The biggest stumbling block to solving the security problem is what I call the ‘grand-design’ approach. Security architects are trying to come up with a 100-year flood-plain design that’s incredibly complex – it’s sort of like trying to start a horse race before the horses are even born. We’ll solve the security problem when someone just comes along and says, ‘Here’s what we’re doing, do you want to buy some?’ I think that’ll happen the next three or four years.”

Biography:

Daniel C. Lynch was the founder of CyberCash Inc. (Entrepreneur/Business Leader.)

Date of prediction: January 1, 1994

Topic of prediction: Communication

Subtopic: Security/Encryption

Name of publication: Telecommunications

Title, headline, chapter name: An Interview with Interop Founder Dan Lynch

Quote Type: Direct quote

Page number or URL of document at time of study:
Page 73 ISSN: 02784831

This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: McAlister, Rory