Elon University
The prediction, in brief:

Files should have structure, and objects should be independently addressable within a file, with zooming in and out and other on-the-fly custom views. Personal signature encryption and suitable privacy provisions should also be supported … Ultimately, the hyperdocument system will need to be an open hyperdocument system (OHS), allowing for an integrated ‘seamless’ multi-vendor architecture where distributed diverse knowledge workers can share hyperdocument files and share screens, regardless of each worker’s particular hardware/software configuration. This interoperability must extend across departments and across organizations to include customers, suppliers, and joint-venture partners.

Predictor: Engelbart, Douglas

Prediction, in context:

In a 1991 article titled “Bootstrapping Organizations into the 21st Century,” Douglas Engelbart writes: ”As more and more of the CODIAK [Concurrent Development, Integration and Application of Knowledge] process work moves online, and more of the work is done concurrently using a hodgepodge of workstations, networks, application packages, and utilities, organizations will be faced with a whole new set of challenges for coordinating the enterprise knowledge work. A strategic solution to these challenges begins with a hyperdocument system. The hyperdocument refers to multimedia files which support many object types, including hypertext links, hyperdocument e-mail, and online hyperdocument publishing (library) with automated cataloging and version control. Links should be easily created, human-readable, and printable. Files should have structure, and objects should be independently addressable within a file, with zooming in and out and other on-the-fly custom views. Personal signature encryption and suitable privacy provisions should also be supported … Ultimately, the hyperdocument system will need to be an open hyperdocument system (OHS), allowing for an integrated ‘seamless’ multi-vendor architecture where distributed diverse knowledge workers can share hyperdocument files and share screens, regardless of each worker’s particular hardware/software configuration. This interoperability must extend across departments and across organizations to include customers, suppliers, and joint-venture partners. Furthermore, within the integrated enterprise of tomorrow, standard provisions must exist for links between OHS documents and objects within other enterprise data forms (e.g. databases, CAD models). An OHS should provide totally interoperable CODIAK support for a truly concurrent, integrated enterprise.”

Biography:

Douglas Engelbart, the inventor of the computer mouse, spent 40 years predicting, designing and implementing the future of organizational computing. In 1962, while at the Stanford Research Institute, he produced the paper “Augmenting Human Intellect: A Conceptual Framework,” from which came the concepts of augmenting human intellect, improvement infrastructure, co-evolution of artifacts with social-cultural language-practices and bootstrapping. His Augmentation Research Center developed an array of important human-computer interface solutions, including hypermedia. In 1989 he co-founded the Bootstrap Institute, a non-profit organization “in a quest to form strategic alliances aimed at improving organizations and society at large.” (Pioneer/Originator.)

Date of prediction: December 1, 1991

Topic of prediction: Information Infrastructure

Subtopic: Language/Interface/Software

Name of publication: Bootstrap Institute

Title, headline, chapter name: Bootstrapping Organizations into the 21st Century: A Strategic Framework

Quote Type: Direct quote

Page number or URL of document at time of study:
www.bootstrap.org/augment/AUGMENT/132803.html

This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Garber, Adam