Elon University
The prediction, in brief:

We’re getting more and more on the desktop computer as it gets connected to very high bandwidth. If you start expecting the same thing on your portable while you’re traveling, then we have the problem of dealing with both of them. It hobbles our apps because we expect them to work in both locations. It can be a real problem because if people think we have high wireless bandwidth, they’re deluding themselves

Predictor: Bricklin, Dan

Prediction, in context:

In a 1994 interview story for Computerworld, reporter Steve Moore talked with Dan Bricklin, one of the innovators who came up with the Visicalc spreadsheet – a product that revolutionized the use of PCs by businesses in the late 1970s. In the Interview, Moore asks, and Frankston answers: Computerworld: “What impact will wireless mobile computers have on the PC software market?” Bricklin: “The problem that’s going to occur because of the communications thing is that we’re getting more and more on the desktop computer as it gets connected to very high bandwidth. If you start expecting the same thing on your portable while you’re traveling, then we have the problem of dealing with both of them. It hobbles our apps because we expect them to work in both locations. It can be a real problem because if people think we have high wireless bandwidth, they’re deluding themselves.”

Biography:

Dan Bricklin was the inventor of the first big spreadsheet program, VisiCalc, in 1979. In 1995, he founded and became chief technical officer of Trellix, a company making Web tools. Trellix later invested in Pyra Labs, the biggest supplier of Blogging software, in 2001. (Pioneer/Originator.)

Date of prediction: January 1, 1994

Topic of prediction: Information Infrastructure

Subtopic: Bandwidth

Name of publication: Computerworld

Title, headline, chapter name: The Killer App Crew

Quote Type: Direct quote

Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://proquest.umi.com/pqdweb?Did=000000000312025&Fmt=3&Deli=1&Mtd=1&Idx=1&Sid=5&RQT=309

This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Edwards, Elizabeth