There’s a good chance the Net will become as big a player in communications as the telephone, the mail and video technology. It will be one of a set of tools that more and more people will use. But the whole issue of regulation could be a show-stopper. It could get so regulated that people would be unwilling to use it or to offer service on it.
Predictor: Farber, David J.
Prediction, in context:In a 1995 article in NetGuide, a number of individuals were honored as “The Tomorrow Makers,” including Internet pioneer Dave Farber, at the time a professor of telecommunications at the University of Pennsylvania. In the article, Grant Fjermedal writes: ”Today Farber isn’t concerned with the history of the Internet, but with its future. ‘There’s a good chance the Net will become as big a player in communications as the telephone, the mail and video technology. It will be one of a set of tools that more and more people will use,’ Farber says. ‘But the whole issue of regulation could be a show-stopper. It could get so regulated that people would be unwilling to use it or to offer service on it.'”
Biography:David Farber was the recipient of the 1995 ACM Sigcomm Award for lifelong contributions to the computer communications field. He has worked at the University of Pennsylvania, managing research in high-speed networking. In 2000, he served as chief technologist at the U.S. Federal Communications Commission. He also directed the Center for Communications and Information Sciences and Policy. In 1997, Upside magazine named him one of its Elite 100 visionaries of high-tech. (Research Scientist/Illuminator.)
Date of prediction: January 1, 1995
Topic of prediction: Information Infrastructure
Subtopic: Role of Govt./Industry
Name of publication: NetGuide
Title, headline, chapter name: The Tomorrow Makers
Quote Type: Direct quote
Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://weblinks1.epnet.com/citation.asp?tb=1&_ug=dbs+0+ln+en%2Dus+sid+140392B7%2DB8CB%2D4B70%2DB4CD%2D9F1B2D834324%40Sessionmgr2+F597&_uh=btn+N+idb+f5hish+jdb+f5hjnh+op+phrase+ss+ID++NTG+B8B9&_us=bs+JN++%22NetGuide%22++and++DT++19950101+ds+JN++%22NetGuide%22++and++DT++19950101+dstb+KS+fcl+Aut+ri+KAAACBZD00002054+sm+KS+EE87&cf=1&fn=11&rn=18
This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Goodrich, Barbara J