Elon University
The prediction, in brief:

Will it be infrared, narrowband, or spread spectrum? TDMA or CDMA? 802.11 or some proprietary protocol that captures de facto standard status? Will we be able to send a wireless e-mail message that includes the high-resolution graphics that illustrate my document? Which applications, if any, meet such universal demand that they will be “pre-packaged” rather than “custom?” What is it that people really want from wireless and what are they willing to pay for it?

Predictor: Marino, Craig

Prediction, in context:

In a 1993 article he wrote for Red Herring, Craig Marino, at the time an associate at Broadview Associates, an information technology investment bank, says: ”But will it be infrared, narrowband, or spread spectrum? TDMA or CDMA? 802.11 or some proprietary protocol that captures de facto standard status? Will we be able to send a wireless e-mail message that includes the high-resolution graphics that illustrate my document? Which applications, if any, meet such universal demand that they will be ‘pre-packaged’ rather than ‘custom?’ What is it that people really want from wireless and what are they willing to pay for it? Until users and service/equipment providers come to terms with these and other related issues, partnerships and alliances through a portfolio of minority investments offer a safe way for IT players to dip their toes in the wireless pool.”

Date of prediction: January 1, 1993

Topic of prediction: Information Infrastructure

Subtopic: Wireless Technologies

Name of publication: Red Herring

Title, headline, chapter name: The Great Wireless Hope

Quote Type: Direct quote

Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://www.redherring.com/mag/issue04/great.html

This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Stotler, Larry