Elon University
The prediction, in brief:

The trend is toward more wireless communications in the future. Since they are easier to intercept than wire-based ones, the demand for encryption technology will increase as concern for data integrity increases, although many wireless consumers persist in using such media without the benefit of cryptographic products.

Predictor: Hoffman, Lance

Prediction, in context:

In a 1994 research article on cryptography policy, authors Lance Hoffman, Anne Huybrechts, Ali Faraz and Steven Heckler write: ”There are already 12 million subscribers to cellular telephone services in the U.S., and the trend is toward more wireless communications in the future. Since they are easier to intercept than wire-based ones, the demand for encryption technology will increase as concern for data integrity increases, although many wireless consumers persist in using such media without the benefit of cryptographic products.”

Biography:

Lance Hoffman, a professor at George Washington University, was a security expert and the author of the 1994 National Science Foundation paper “Civilizing Cyberspace: Priority Policy Issues in a National Information Infrastructure” in addition to many other research pieces in the 1990s. He wrote the book “Rogue Programs: Viruses, Worms and Trojan Horses” (Van Nostrand Rheinhold, 1990). (Research Scientist/Illuminator.)

Date of prediction: January 1, 1994

Topic of prediction: Information Infrastructure

Subtopic: Wireless Technologies

Name of publication: Communications of the ACM

Title, headline, chapter name: Cryptography Policy

Quote Type: Direct quote

Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://web4.infotrac.galegroup.com/itw/infomark/833/751/34311839w4/purl=rc2_EAIM_1_Cryptography+Policy___09/1994______________________________________________________&dyn=sig!2?sw_aep=ncliveec

This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Johnson, Kathleen