The prediction, in brief:

In the next decade, electronic mail is dead.

Predictor: Saffo, Paul

Prediction, in context:

In a 1994 article for The New York Times, John Markoff writes about computers and literacy, quoting futurist Paul Saffo. Markoff writes:”‘In the next decade, electronic mail is dead,’ said Paul Saffo, a researcher at the Institute for the Future in Menlo Park, Calif. He believes that text will become little more than a device to annotate video communications.”

Biography:

Paul Saffo was the director of a decades-old research and forecasting foundation called the Institute for the Future, located in Menlo Park, Calif., in the 1990s. This Institute was a non-profit think tank that consulted for a large number of businesses and government entities, including telecommunications and consumer companies. (Futurist/Consultant.)

Date of prediction: March 1, 1994

Topic of prediction: Communication

Subtopic: E-mail

Name of publication: New York Times

Title, headline, chapter name: The Rise and Swift Fall of Cyber Literacy

Quote Type: Partial quote

Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://www.eff.org/Net_culture/Criticisms/fall_of_cyberliteracy.paper

This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Stotler, Larry