Elon University
The prediction, in brief:

We can’t afford as a society to protect pedophiles and criminals today just to keep alive the far-fetched notion that some future tyrant will be brought down by guerrillas wearing bandoleers and pocket protectors and sending PGP-encrypted messages to each other across cyberspace.

Predictor: Baker, Stewart

Prediction, in context:

In a 1994 article he wrote for Wired, Stewart Baker, chief counsel for the National Security Agency, refuted “seven myths of key escrow encryption.” In it, he writes: ”One of the earliest users of PGP was a high-tech pedophile in Santa Clara, Calif. He used PGP to encrypt files that, police suspect, include a diary of his contacts with susceptible young boys using computer bulletin boards all over the country. ‘What really bothers me,’ says Detective Brian Kennedy of the Sacramento, California, Sheriff’s Department, ‘is that there could be kids out there who need help badly, but thanks to this encryption, we’ll never reach them.’ If unescrowed encryption becomes ubiquitous, there will be many more stories like this. We can’t afford as a society to protect pedophiles and criminals today just to keep alive the far-fetched notion that some future tyrant will be brought down by guerrillas wearing bandoleers and pocket protectors and sending PGP-encrypted messages to each other across cyberspace.”

Biography:

Stewart Baker was described by The Washington Post (Nov. 20, 1995) as “one of the most techno-literate lawyers around.” Baker’s Washington, D.C., practice covered issues relating to digital commerce, electronic surveillance, encryption, privacy, national security and export controls. (Legislator/Politician/Lawyer.)

Date of prediction: January 1, 1994

Topic of prediction: Communication

Subtopic: Security/Encryption

Name of publication: Wired

Title, headline, chapter name: Don’t Worry be Happy: Why Clipper is Good for You

Quote Type: Direct quote

Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://www.eff.org/Privacy/Crypto/Key_escrow/Clipper/clipper_good_nsa.article

This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Beckett, Angela