Rapidly assembled response teams, consisting of Federal, state, and volunteer organizations, will be able to share and update electronic plans, collaborate during the execution of the plan, and use that plan as a basis for real-time training. Crisis planners would also be able to “collaborate through time” by comparing planned actions with historically relevant plans and through advanced simulation services.
Predictor: Information Infrastructure Technology and Applications (IITA) Task Group: High-Performance Computing and Communications Information Technology Subcommittee
Prediction, in context:In a final draft of their Dec. 1, 1993, recommendations for the National Information Infrastructure, members of the High-Performance Computing Communications and Information Technology subcommittee write the following: ”Satellite and mobile communications will ensure ‘anytime, anywhere’ reliable communication infrastructure upon which to base an information infrastructure. Crisis management command and control systems can then be designed and readily tailored to meet the needs of the crisis at hand. Weather center models together with continuously interpreted overhead imagery can more accurately predict crisis locations and the degree of damage. More reliable and faster situation assessment will be accomplished through a combination of intelligent agents, image understanding, and language understanding systems that will assess and aggregate information from a diverse set of situation reports (telephone, radios, etc.). Decision-aiding models and ‘lessons learned’ histories from similar past crises will aid in refining crisis plans, predicting resource needs, and defining precedent constraints for achieving those needs. For example, in the context of a serious earthquake where heavy cranes are required to help remove building debris, such a service may remind the crisis planners to plan for the insertion of portable power units(the failure to do this in the recent Mexican earthquake resulted in a loss of many lives). Rapidly assembled response teams, consisting of Federal, state, and volunteer organizations, will be able to share and update electronic plans, collaborate during the execution of the plan, and use that plan as a basis for real-time training. Crisis planners would also be able to ‘collaborate through time’ by comparing planned actions with historically relevant plans and through advanced simulation services. The underlying services that are needed include: collaboration and interaction, intelligent agents to monitor communications and provide relevant summaries and advisories, ‘plug and play’ and easily tailorable decision aids, interoperable maps and other electronic communications media, simulation services to predict the effectiveness of the crisis-response plan, and access and navigation through historical libraries.”
Date of prediction: December 1, 1993
Topic of prediction: Getting, Sharing Information
Subtopic: Crisis Management
Name of publication: Information Infrastructure Technology and Applications - Report of the IITA Task Group: High-Performance Computing Communications and Information Technology Subcommittee
Title, headline, chapter name: 2.4 Crisis Management
Quote Type: Direct quote
Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://www.ifla.org/documents/infopol/us/iita.txt
This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Kohlhagen, Kelly C.