Elon University
The prediction, in brief:

We’re going to see the advanced modem market going to Switched 56 kbps and ISDN.

Predictor: Hayes, Dennis

Prediction, in context:

In a 1992 article for InfoWorld, David Coursey talks with Dennis Hayes. Coursey writes: ”Although Hayes says its worldwide modem sales continue to grow, the company is betting on digital telephone and local area networks (LANs) to restore its faded glory. Prevailing industry opinion is that Dennis Hayes is a man of great optimism and faith … I think we’re going to see the advanced modem market going to Switched 56 kbps and ISDN. At the same time, there is a growing and long-lasting market for 2,400-and 9,600-bps products.”

Biography:

Dennis Hayes, served as chairman of the U.S. Internet Industry Association, the primary North American trade association for Internet commerce, content and connectivity. In 1977, he developed the core technology for the Hayes asynchronous modem, the device that enabled computers to communicate with one another across common telephone lines. This device for the first time put computer communications within the reach of ordinary families. It created the means for online services to develop Ð from the early services like CompuServe, to the bulletin board systems of the early ’90s. (Pioneer/Originator.)

Date of prediction: January 1, 1992

Topic of prediction: Communication

Subtopic: Internet Telephony

Name of publication: InfoWorld

Title, headline, chapter name: Hayes Banks on Faster, Digital Phone Technology

Quote Type: Direct quote

Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://proquest.umi.com/pdqweb?Did=000000000508238&Fmt=3Deli=1&Mtd=1&Idx=...

This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Harrison, Nichelle N.