I don’t think anyone will give a shit … If people wanted videos-on-demand, there would be home deliveries of cassettes as well as pizzas by now. But I’ve never heard of them.
Predictor: Grove, Andy
Prediction, in context:In a 1994 article in The Observer, Robin McKie talks with Intel CEO Andy Grove. She writes:”There is a flutter on the wires these days. Information superhighways, the convergence of computers and televisions, movies piped into homes via the phone – a veritable avalanche of electronic ideas compete for attention and investment … Unfortunately, the first draft has yet to convince Andy Grove … What about videos-on-demand? Surely dialing up movies at home will render redundant all those trudges to the rental shop, and make a fortune for the telecommunications industry? ‘I don’t think anyone will give a shit,’ says the computer industry’s champion soothsayer. ‘If people wanted videos-on-demand, there would be home deliveries of cassettes as well as pizzas by now. But I’ve never heard of them.'”
Date of prediction: March 13, 1994
Topic of prediction: Getting, Sharing Information
Subtopic: TV/Films/Video
Name of publication: Observer
Title, headline, chapter name: Superhighway or Dead End?
Quote Type: Direct quote
Page number or URL of document at time of study:
The Observer Business Page; Page 5 / http://web.lexis-nexis.com/universe/document?_m=55d49bb0ea7b9bd36a8e3cf4def77ff7&_docnum=67&wchp=dGLbVtb-lSlzV&_md5=00e258d875793248f4d9b34a6a5273a2
This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Garber, Adam