Elon University
The prediction, in brief:

The Internet could fragment into a bunch of separate spheres, each with its own gatekeeper. It won’t happen right away, since most of the people who run Internet discussion lists and the like are still primarily interested in attracting people, not keeping them away.

Predictor: Agre, Phil

Prediction, in context:

In the March 1994 issue of his online newsletter The Network Observer, Phil Agre wrote: ”The Internet could fragment into a bunch of separate spheres, each with its own gatekeeper. It won’t happen right away, since most of the people who run Internet discussion lists and the like are still primarily interested in attracting people, not keeping them away.”

Biography:

Phillip E. Agre was an associate professor of information studies at the University of California, Los Angeles, and has been the author of research studies on the Internet. He edited The Network Observer, an online newsletter on Internet issues. (Research Scientist/Illuminator.)

Date of prediction: March 1, 1994

Topic of prediction: Community/Culture

Subtopic: MOOs/MUDs/B-Boards/Newsgroups

Name of publication: The Network Observer

Title, headline, chapter name: The Internet as a Commons

Quote Type: Direct quote

Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://dlis.gseis.ucla.edu/people/pagre/tno/march-1994.html

This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Baskerville, Justen Ramon