The next big category of applications that I foresee doesn’t even have a name yet – call it electronic conferencing. It’s the next step beyond e-mail. Electronic meetings will take place in real time and include sound and video and the ability for people to work on documents together.
Predictor: Grove, Andy
Prediction, in context:In a 1993 article in Fortune magazine, Ani Hadjian reports on the comments of Intel CEO Andy Grove. Grove says: ”The next big category of applications that I foresee doesn’t even have a name yet – call it electronic conferencing. It’s the next step beyond e-mail. Electronic meetings will take place in real time and include sound and video and the ability for people to work on documents together. I hate traveling. People in business travel constantly. It’s uncomfortable, it’s expensive, but most of all it slows you down. Think how much time we could save if we didn’t have to travel, and how quickly we could transact business! To avoid plane trips, Intel has become a big user of video conferencing, but it fries me that in 1993 we still have to fax a piece of paper so that everyone can look at the same document. We don’t spend money on video conferencing to smile at each other and say ‘Hi.” We do it to discuss some kind of business issue, so looking down at a piece of paper with information on it is important.”
Date of prediction: January 1, 1993
Topic of prediction: Communication
Subtopic: Internet Telephony
Name of publication: Fortune
Title, headline, chapter name: Andy Grove
Quote Type: Direct quote
Page number or URL of document at time of study:
Fortune Magazine 2/22/93, Vol. 127 Issue 4, Page 56, 5p, http://web20.epnet.com/citation.asp?tb=1&_ug=dbs+0+ln+en%2Dus+sid+20D390F6%2D4097%2D4547%2DB228%2D0D3A749AA94F%40sessionmgr5+61AA&_us=bs+Andy++Grove+cst+0%3B1%3B2%3B6+ds+Andy++Grove+dstb+KS+hd+0+hs+%2D1+or+Date+pr+255+ri+KAAACB3B00015889+sl+0+sm+KS+so+all+ss+SO+83D3&fn=201&rn=205
This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Garber, Adam