The prediction, in brief:

Although the use of electronic mail may sound more promising, fax has a better foothold now, and it may be 10 years before something better replaces it.

Predictor: Bricklin, Dan

Prediction, in context:

In a 1990 article for InfoWorld on digital communications, Roxanna Li Nakamura quotes Dan Bricklin’s view of e-mail. Nakamura writes:”Although the use of electronic mail may sound more promising, fax has a better foothold now, and it may be 10 years before something better replaces it, said Visicalc creator Dan Bricklin.”

Biography:

Dan Bricklin was the inventor of the first big spreadsheet program, VisiCalc, in 1979. In 1995, he founded and became chief technical officer of Trellix, a company making Web tools. Trellix later invested in Pyra Labs, the biggest supplier of Blogging software, in 2001. (Pioneer/Originator.)

Date of prediction: January 1, 1990

Topic of prediction: Communication

Subtopic: E-mail

Name of publication: InfoWorld

Title, headline, chapter name: PC Fax Modems, OCR Software, Scanners, Growing In Popularity

Quote Type: Partial quote

Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://web.lexis-nexis.com/universe/document?_m=a9f575f0b5803f0d11bac23aade20492&_docnum=26&wchp=dGLbVlz-lSlAl&_md5=9f12f031c2e37021692661d4fd547477

This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Bricker, Erin E.