Elon University
The prediction, in brief:

The rise of broadband, interconnected, interoperable transmission facilities is going to change the way the government monitors communications. The government is no longer going to have the luxury of access to virtually all communications. And of course, among those who will implement this sort of technology will be those in the criminal world.

Predictor: Marks, Richard D.

Prediction, in context:

In a 1994 article for Infosecurity News, David Bernstein asks Richard Marks, chair of the Computer Law Division of the American Bar Association’s Section of Science and Technology, about standards on the information superhighway. Marks replies: ”The rise of broadband, interconnected, interoperable transmission facilities is going to change the way the government monitors communications. The government is no longer going to have the luxury of access to virtually all communications. And of course, among those who will implement this sort of technology will be those in the criminal world. I don’t forecast that the government will be impotent, it will just have to approach the problem differently. The first step will be recognition that the kinds of approaches that have worked during most of the last half of the 20th century no longer work. That’s why Clipper is doomed on a conceptual, social and pragmatic level. There is a concomitant effort on the part of the FBI to require that carriers tag digital transmissions to make it possible for law-enforcement agencies to tap digital transmissions in high-speed broadband environments. That’s not going to work either.”

Date of prediction: January 1, 1994

Topic of prediction: Communication

Subtopic: Security/Encryption

Name of publication: Infosecurity News

Title, headline, chapter name: Infohighway Security Viewpoints

Quote Type: Direct quote

Page number or URL of document at time of study:
Page 18

This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Garrison, Betty