The NII would not eliminate today’s vendors of information. Rather, it would offer these businesses a larger market, modify somewhat their roles, and create a richer, more competitive environment.
Predictor: Dertouzos, Michael
Prediction, in context:In a 1991 article for Technology Review, MIT researcher/administrator Michael Dertouzos writes:”Even if the NII [National Information Infrastructure] carried high-definition television, cable companies would still be needed to package, organize, and market video entertainment. But these companies would lose their local monopolies, instead competing with one another across the United States for all of the nation’s TV viewers … The NII would not eliminate today’s vendors of information. Rather, it would offer these businesses a larger market, modify somewhat their roles, and create a richer, more competitive environment.”
Biography:Michael Dertouzos was director of the MIT Laboratory for Computer Science and the author of “The Unfinished Revolution.” He led a project intended to make computers adapt to people. He outlined a comprehensive proposal for a national information “infrastructure” in a 1991 article for Technology Review. (Research Scientist/Illuminator.)
Date of prediction: January 1, 1991
Topic of prediction: Getting, Sharing Information
Subtopic: General
Name of publication: Technology Review
Title, headline, chapter name: Building the Information Marketplace
Quote Type: Direct quote
Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://web3.infotrac.galegroup.com/itw/infomark/237/651/57953601w3/purl=rc1_EAIM_0_A9329382&dyn=5!xrn_1_0_A9329382?sw_aep=ncliveec
This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Anderson, Janna Quitney