Elon University
The prediction, in brief:

I have serious questions about whether any sophisticated criminal or terrorist organization is going to use the one code endorsed by the U.S. Government and for which U.S. Government agents hold the decoding keys … I am concerned about Clipper Chip’s impact on the competitiveness of our robust, high-tech industries. We must make sure that Clipper Chip will not impede American companies trying to market high-tech products overseas.

Predictor: Leahy, Patrick

Prediction, in context:

In his May 1994 testimony at a Senate Technology and the Law Subcommittee hearing on the Clipper Chip Key Escrow Encryption program , Sen. Patrick Leahy (D-Vermont) makes the following statement: ”I have serious questions about whether any sophisticated criminal or terrorist organization is going to use the one code endorsed by the U.S. Government and for which U.S. Government agents hold the decoding keys. There are a multitude of alternative encryption methods commercially available. If Clipper Chip does become the standard encryption method used by Americans, criminals may be forced to use Clipper to communicate with legitimate outsiderns, but this is a big ‘IF.’ Finally, I am concerned about Clipper Chip’s impact on the competitiveness of our robust, high-tech industries. We must make sure that Clipper Chip will not impede American companies trying to market high-tech products overseas. The Administration’s steps to reform some export restrictions on encryption and telecommunications technology is welcome. But the only encryption technology that will be permitted to be relatively freely exported is key escrow encryption products … The reaction overseas to Clipper Chip has serious implications for the ‘planetary information network’ Vice President Gore has cheered.”

Biography:

Patrick Leahy was a U.S. Senate member who played an important role in Congressional discussions of the Internet in the 1990s. (Legislator/Politician/Lawyer.)

Date of prediction: May 3, 1994

Topic of prediction: Communication

Subtopic: Security/Encryption

Name of publication: Press Release

Title, headline, chapter name: Statement of Senator Patrick J. Leahy Chairman, Technology and the Law Subcommittee Hearing on the Administration’s Clipper Chip Key Escrow Encryption Program

Quote Type: Direct quote

Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://www.eff.org/Privacy/Key_escrow/Clipper/leahy_clipper_050394.testimony

This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Anderson, Janna Quitney