Elon University
The prediction, in brief:

ATM will not become the universal switching fabric that replaces the Internet. Rather, we think it will be used as a high-performance data-link layer underneath IP, similar to FDDI, Ethernet, or ISDN.

Predictor: Auerbach, Karl

Prediction, in context:

In a 1995 article for LAN magazine, Karl Auerbach and Chris Wellens cover the future of the Internet. They write: ”The hype concerning ATM [Asynchronous Transfer Mode] revolves around very fast switching capabilities and service guarantees. However, an ATM-based network is subject to congestion … It is our feeling that ATM will not become the universal switching fabric that replaces the Internet. Rather, we think it will be used as a high-performance data-link layer underneath IP, similar to FDDI, Ethernet, or ISDN.”

Date of prediction: October 1, 1995

Topic of prediction: Information Infrastructure

Subtopic: Pipeline/Switching/Hardware

Name of publication: LAN Magazine

Title, headline, chapter name: Internet Evolution or Revolution?

Quote Type: Direct quote

Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://web1.infotrac.galegroup.com/itw/infomark/121/612/36098279w1/purl=rc1_ITOF_0_A17433050&dyn=11!xrn_138_0_A17433050?sw_aep=ncliveec

This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Garrison, Betty