The World Wide Web, as it currently exists, cannot possibly succeed on the scale now being widely predicted. Web browsers, home pages and HTML-coding courses will all, inevitably, hit the wall.
Predictor: Vinocur, M. Richard
Prediction, in context:In a 1995 article for American Printer magazine, Richard Vinocur, president of Footprint Communications, a New Jersey consulting firm for the printing and publishing industries, quotes software entrepreneur Mark Stahlman. Vinocur writes: ”The hype that has been generated concerning the Internet continues to escalate … Only 5.8 million people in the U.S. have direct access to the Internet. According to U.S. News & World Report, another 3.9 million use commercial online services exclusively … [A] friend showed me an editorial in Computer Reseller News. The editorial, written by software entrepreneur Mark Stahlman, sounded as if I had written it. He also is negative about the Web. ‘The World Wide Web, as it currently exists, cannot possibly succeed on the scale now being widely predicted,’ he forecasts. ‘Web browsers, home pages and HTML-coding courses will all, inevitably, hit the wall.’ I’m in full agreement with Stahlman. Today, the Net is slow and clunky, and I just don’t have time for it. That’s not to say in 10 or 15 years, with new developments and improvements, it won’t serve as an important communications vehicle and information source.”
Date of prediction: January 1, 1995
Topic of prediction: Information Infrastructure
Subtopic: General
Name of publication: American Printer
Title, headline, chapter name: Another Look at the Internet
Quote Type: Direct quote
Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://web7.infotrac.galegroup.com/itw/infomark/179/632/32598559w7/purl=rc2_ITOF_1_another+look+at+the+internet_xx________american+printer________________________________________________&dyn=sig!1?sw_aep=ncliveec
This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Garrison, Betty