An Internet e-mail address is quickly becoming a requirement for business communication, as a fax number did in the U.S. around 1988.
Predictor: Michalski, Jerry
Prediction, in context:In a 1994 article for The New York Times about businesses on the Internet, Peter Lewis talks with Jerry Michalski of Release 1.0. Lewis writes: ”As of April, 14, 154 commercial domains – the ‘com’ designation in an Internet address that typically identifies the user as a commercial business, like chembank.com for Chemical Bank – were registered on the Internet, said A. Scott Williamson, program manager for Internet Network Information Center Registration Services in Herndon, Va. A year ago there were 6,545 … The Internet, which has no ownership or central management, is a web of more than 2.2 million computers, on 32,000 connected computer networks, accessible in 135 countries and territories. It is said to be growing at a rate of 10 to 15 percent a month. An estimated 25 million people already have the capability of sending electronic mail messages on the Internet. An equal number of people, primarily on private computer networks within businesses, will probably be linked to the Internet soon. ‘In some cases, they won’t have much choice about participating in some fashion,’ said Jerry Michalski, managing editor of Release 1.0, a computer-industry newsletter in New York. ‘An Internet e-mail address is quickly becoming a requirement for business communication, as a fax number did in the U.S. around 1988.'”
Biography:Jerry Michalski took over the job of managing editor of Release 1.0 from Esther Dyson. (Futurist/Consultant.)
Date of prediction: June 1, 1994
Topic of prediction: Economic structures
Subtopic: E-commerce
Name of publication: New York Times
Title, headline, chapter name: Getting Down to Business on the Net
Quote Type: Direct quote
Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://web.lexis-nexis.com/universe/document?_m=2d555ca3bdfd807323c0b76a4946758f&_docnum=15&wchp=dGLbVzb-lSlAl&_md5=0ec888e2dc3412a56a2f5466b967eee0
This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Anderson, Janna Quitney