Elon University
The prediction, in brief:

If more and more Internet users erect one-way barriers, “the services you can use are more limited.”

Predictor: Schwartz, Mike

Prediction, in context:

In a 1995 article for The New York Times, Peter Lewis quotes computer scientist Mike Schwartz. Lewis writes: ”And for businesses and policymakers who are planning for a digital future where the Internet delivers tens of millions of interactive users freely sending and receiving all sorts of information over the Internet, the rise of ‘firewalls,’ or security barriers, is a significant impediment. Mike Schwartz, an associate professor of computer science at the University of Colorado at Boulder, said a 1992 survey of the Internet found that an estimated 35 percent of all Internet computers were barricaded behind firewalls. ‘If you start looking at Internet services that require things like interactivity, things like billing or accounting across the Net, there might be nicer ways to do it if you could directly connect to people,’ Mr. Schwartz said. But if more and more Internet users erect one-way barriers, he added, ‘the services you can use are more limited.'”

Date of prediction: August 1, 1994

Topic of prediction: Communication

Subtopic: Security/Encryption

Name of publication: New York Times

Title, headline, chapter name: Business Technology; Doubts Raised on Number of Internet Users

Quote Type: Direct quote

Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://web.lexis-nexis.com/universe/document?_m=b292bc7af5b805f49f635ec4f635ec4f65b60ca...

This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Anderson, Janna Quitney