Elon University
The prediction, in brief:

An entire virtual community can atrophy or perish in the wink of an eye. To the extent that membership in virtual communities proves less stable than that obtained in other forms of democratic community, or that social relations prove less thick … there could be adverse consequences for individual psychological and moral development.

Predictor: Sclove, Richard

Prediction, in context:

In his 1995 book “Democracy and Technology,” Richard Sclove writes: ”A strength – but also a drawback – to a virtual community is that any member can exit instantly. Indeed, an entire virtual community can atrophy or perish in the wink of an eye. To the extent that membership in virtual communities proves less stable than that obtained in other forms of democratic community, or that social relations prove less thick (i.e., less embedded in a context saturated in shared meaning and history), there could be adverse consequences for individual psychological and moral development.”

Biography:

Richard Sclove was founder and an advisory board member of The Loka Institute, a nonprofit organization in Amherst, Mass., dedicated to making research, science and technology responsive to social and environmental concerns. He is also the author of the book “Democracy and Technology” (1995). (Futurist/Consultant.)

Date of prediction: January 1, 1995

Topic of prediction: Community/Culture

Subtopic: Virtual Communities

Name of publication: Democracy and Technology

Title, headline, chapter name: Cybersobriety

Quote Type: Direct quote

Page number or URL of document at time of study:
Page 80

This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Anderson, Janna Quitney