Elon University
The prediction, in brief:

The deployment of an open non-proprietary residential premises network “black box” may well be the most important advancement for both the energy services and NII information services since it will enable new and innovative supporting hardware, software, system, and services that will drive not only the energy supply and consumption applications arena but will also spur on the deployment of NII and Internet access. The model must support a heterogenous collection of telecommunications media and services, advanced energy and information applications and access strategies, and a variety of consumer premises solutions.

Predictor: Aiken, Robert J.

Prediction, in context:

In a research presentation titled “Energy Utilities in the Internet and NII: Users or Providers?,” presented at the Internet Society’s INET ’95 June 27-30 in Honolulu, Hawaii, Robert J. Aiken, John S. Cavallini and Mary Ann Scott of the U.S. Department of Energy say: ”The success of future energy services is dependent upon the creation and deployment of a deaggregated electricity and energy information infrastructure, complete with open access between energy, information, and telecommunications service providers as well as the end-user premises. The deployment of an open non-proprietary residential premises network ‘black box’ may well be the most important advancement for both the energy services and NII information services since it will enable new and innovative supporting hardware, software, system, and services that will drive not only the energy supply and consumption applications arena but will also spur on the deployment of NII and Internet access. The model must support a heterogenous collection of telecommunications media and services, advanced energy and information applications and access strategies, and a variety of consumer premises solutions. It is also crucial that a general LAN for businesses and residences be developed that supports integrated energy and information services. The utilities will most likely deploy telecommunications infrastructure to mainly support energy services applications, but also to provide generic NII and Internet access where it makes sense. However, it is expected that in either case the utilities will need to work with, interoperate with, and utilize the services and ‘last-mile’ access provided by cable companies, telecommunications, Internet, and other service providers.”

Date of prediction: January 1, 1995

Topic of prediction: Information Infrastructure

Subtopic: Pipeline/Switching/Hardware

Name of publication: ISOC INET '95 (conference)

Title, headline, chapter name: Energy Utilities in the Internet and NII: Users or Providers?

Quote Type: Direct quote

Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://www.isoc.org/HMP/PAPER/221/html/paper.html

This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Anderson, Janna Quitney