Elon University
The prediction, in brief:

Some changes may be forced by the transition of the Internet to a new version of IP, the so-called “IPng.” As of this writing, there are still several candidate protocols, but one of them requires a form of source-routing as an integral part of its design. If this protocol is selected, all address-based authentication mechanisms will become insecure; cryptographic authentication will become utterly essential. This is probably good, but the transition process will be painful. In particular, if the Internet deploys translation gateways as a conversion aid, organizations with firewalls will probably need their own translator to accommodate the internal process.

Predictor: Bellovin, Steven M.

Prediction, in context:

In their 1994 book “Firewalls and Internet Security,” Steven Bellovin and William Cheswick write: ”Some changes may be forced by the transition of the Internet to a new version of IP, the so-called ‘IPng.’ As of this writing, there are still several candidate protocols, but one of them requires a form of source-routing as an integral part of its design. If this protocol is selected, all address-based authentication mechanisms will become insecure; cryptographic authentication will become utterly essential. This is probably good, but the transition process will be painful. In particular, if the Internet deploys translation gateways as a conversion aid, organizations with firewalls will probably need their own translator to accommodate the internal process.”

Date of prediction: January 1, 1994

Topic of prediction: Information Infrastructure

Subtopic: Protocols

Name of publication: Firewalls and Internet Security

Title, headline, chapter name: Chapter 14: Where Do We Go From Here?

Quote Type: Direct quote

Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://www.wilyhacker.com/1e/

This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Anderson, Janna Quitney