It is conceivable that the marketplace alone could dictate that these [copy-inhibiting] codes be transmitted by the NII, even if the government doesn’t. … [But] I am skeptical the marketplace alone can handle an issue as complex as standardization.
Predictor: Rosen, Hillary
Prediction, in context:In a 1993 article for Billboard, the music industry magazine, Catherine Applefeld reports on a National Information Infrastructure task force hearing Nov. 18 in Crystal City, Nevada, at which Hillary Rosen, executive vice president of the Recording Industry Association of America appeared. Applefeld writes: ”Aside from the issue of copyright law, the task force sought discussion on whether or not a licensing system should be developed within the NII and whether the copy-inhibit provisions spelled out in the Audio Home Recording Act sould be adapted for the information. On the issue of encoding, Rosen testified that it would be in the interest of copyright owners and NII users for transmitters to identify copyrighted works. ‘It is conceivable that the marketplace alone could dictate that these codes be transmitted by the NII, even if the government doesn’t,’ she told the committee. Citing the incompatability of digital audio in DCC, MD and HDTV, she also advised the task force to take seriously the compatability issue. She later told Billboard, ‘I am skeptical the marketplace alone can handle an issue as complex as standardization.'”
Date of prediction: November 18, 1993
Topic of prediction: Controversial Issues
Subtopic: Copyright/Intellectual Property/Plagiarism
Name of publication: Billboard
Title, headline, chapter name: Trade Wants C’Right Assurances As Info Highway is Paved
Quote Type: Direct quote
Page number or URL of document at time of study:
Volume 105, Issue 49, Page 10
This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Anderson, Janna Quitney