Elon University
The prediction, in brief:

Network providers can use pricing and other means to balance load and to shift usage to off-peak periods. In addition to congestion-related variation in pricing based on time of use … another timing issue relates to making long-term versus spontaneous arrangements to use above-average amounts of network capacity. Users who anticipate only occasional demand for very-high-speed service can be encouraged to make an explicit reservation in advance.

Predictor: National Research Council

Prediction, in context:

In 1994, the NRENaissance Committee, appointed by the Computer Science and Telecommunications Board of the National Research Council, produced a special report titled “Realizing the Information Future: The Internet and Beyond.” Among the committee members were Internet pioneers Leonard Kleinrock, David Clark, David Farber, Lawrence Landweber and Robert Kahn. The committee’s goal was to “study issues raised by the shift to a larger, more truly national networking capability.” Among its statements about the blossoming of the National Information Infrastructure (NII) is this: ”Network providers can use pricing and other means to balance load and to shift usage to off-peak periods. In addition to congestion-related variation in pricing based on time of use … another timing issue relates to making long-term versus spontaneous arrangements to use above-average amounts of network capacity. Users who anticipate only occasional demand for very-high-speed service can be encouraged to make an explicit reservation in advance, as an alternative to paying for the option of sending that traffic spontaneously.”

Date of prediction: January 1, 1994

Topic of prediction: Information Infrastructure

Subtopic: Cost/Pricing

Name of publication: Realizing the Information Future: The Internet and Beyond

Title, headline, chapter name: Paying the Price

Quote Type: Direct quote

Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://stills.nap.edu/html/rtif/

This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Anderson, Janna Quitney