The percentage of users who need secure private communications will be a relatively small part of a huge volume of traffic. We’ll see enormous growth in unmanaged services. For example, consider a Web server as a catalog: There’s no need for security except when the customer is buying. You can’t steal what’s being given away, and most of the information in the world is like that. For most services, you won’t need a private network to guarantee quality.
Predictor: Evslin, Tom
Prediction, in context:In a 1995 article for InfoWorld, Michael Parsons interviews Tom Evslin, AT&T’s vice president of gateway services. According to Evslin, formerly of Microsoft, telephony and data communications will merge and multimedia phone calls will be the standard. Following is an excerpt of the conversation:Q: “Will secure, managed services siphon off most commercial traffic from the Internet?” A: “No. I think we’ll find that the percentage of users who need secure private communications will be a relatively small part of a huge volume of traffic. We’ll see enormous growth in unmanaged services. For example, consider a Web server as a catalog: There’s no need for security except when the customer is buying. You can’t steal what’s being given away, and most of the information in the world is like that. For most services, you won’t need a private network to guarantee quality. It’s ironic, because the physical Internet is disappearing. More and more often, traffic that we think of as Internet is being handed off from carrier to carrier. Much of it doesn’t go through any public facilities
Date of prediction: October 1, 1995
Topic of prediction: Getting, Sharing Information
Subtopic: General
Name of publication: InfoWorld
Title, headline, chapter name: Getting on the Internet at Last
Quote Type: Direct quote
Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://proquest.umi.com/pqdweb?Did=000000008661108&Fmt=3&Deli=1&Mtd=1&Idx=1&Sid=2&RQT=309
This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Garrison, Betty