Elon University
The prediction, in brief:

Net cops can swiftly clean each new infringement out of the major online markets as soon as it appears. They will soon become better at it when copyright owners begin deploying software agents that can roam the entire Net, searching out anonymous infringements. Every time a pirated work is spread to the four corners of the Internet by an anonymous user, software agents will quickly sniff it out. Anonymous infringements will arc across the Net like shooting stars, and disappear from sight just as quickly. Those who want the latest freebie will have to scramble for it before the cops and their software agents go out to sweep up the mess.

Predictor: Rose, Lance

Prediction, in context:

In a 1995 article for Wired magazine, attorney and writer Lance Rose comments on copyright issues on the Internet. Rose writes. ”Net cops can swiftly clean each new infringement out of the major online markets as soon as it appears. They will soon become better at it when copyright owners begin deploying software agents that can roam the entire Net, searching out anonymous infringements. Every time a pirated work is spread to the four corners of the Internet by an anonymous user, software agents will quickly sniff it out. Anonymous infringements will arc across the Net like shooting stars, and disappear from sight just as quickly. Those who want the latest freebie will have to scramble for it before the cops and their software agents go out to sweep up the mess.”

Biography:

Lance Rose, a lawyer, earned a high profile for his expertise in Internet issues in the 1990s. He wrote “Netlaw: Your Rights in the Online World” (1995). (Legislator/Politician/Lawyer.)

Date of prediction: January 1, 1994

Topic of prediction: Controversial Issues

Subtopic: Copyright/Intellectual Property/Plagiarism

Name of publication: Wired

Title, headline, chapter name: The Emperor’s Clothes Still Fit Just Fine

Quote Type: Direct quote

Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://www.wired.com/wired/archive/3.02/rose.if_pr.html

This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Anderson, Janna Quitney