The next generation of personal computers will offer multi-media capacity including animation, full-motion video and context-organized instructional databases. When high-bandwidth networks become easily accessible, adult education has a prospect of becoming the growth industry of the 21st century.
Predictor: Strassmann, Paul
Prediction, in context:In his 1990 book “The Business Value of Computers,” Paul Strassmann writes:”An expansion in adult education for profit is already on its way. Competition will drive this sector to cost reduction and further value-enhancement. Just consider how much it costs a middle manager or professional specialist to attend a two day off-site skill-upgrading course in a central city. It costs about $200 per classroom hour. This educational service costs less than $10 per student-hour by electronic means. The next generation of personal computers will offer multi-media capacity including animation, full-motion video and context-organized instructional databases. When high-bandwidth networks become easily accessible, adult education has a prospect of becoming the growth industry of the 21st century.”
Date of prediction: January 1, 1990
Topic of prediction: Getting, Sharing Information
Subtopic: E-learning
Name of publication: The Business Value of Computers
Title, headline, chapter name: Strategic Investments
Quote Type: Direct quote
Page number or URL of document at time of study:
Pages 182, 183
This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Anderson, Janna Quitney