Elon University
The prediction, in brief:

“National” in the context of e-mail is at best a misnomer; at worst, it could mislead policy. Policies that derive specifically from a commitment to universalize e-mail within this country will interact with and affect events far beyond the domestic milieu.

Predictor: Anderson, Robert H.

Prediction, in context:

In a 1995 research paper published for the RAND Publications Database, Robert H. Anderson, Tora K. Bikson, Sally Ann Law, Bridger M. Mitchell, Christopher Kedzie, Brent Keltner, Constantijn Panis, Joel Pliskin, Padmanabhan Srinagesh write about the feasibility of universal access to e-mail: ”Measurable effects of this technology on global democratization resonate with arguments to justify a national universal e-mail system: E-mail can help vitalize or reinvigorate democratic governance … The United States should support increased interconnectivity abroad, as this may aid the spread of democracy … The development of a national e-mail system must consider the international implications. Worldwide democratization is both a critical and demonstrable implication, but there are others … standardization and security, for example. ‘National’ in the context of e-mail is at best a misnomer; at worst, it could mislead policy. Policies that derive specifically from a commitment to universalize e-mail within this country will interact with and affect events far beyond the domestic milieu.”

Date of prediction: January 1, 1995

Topic of prediction: Global Relationships/Politics

Subtopic: Democracy

Name of publication: Rand Publications Database

Title, headline, chapter name: Universal Access to E-mail: Feasibility and Societal Implications

Quote Type: Direct quote

Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://www.rand.org/publications/MR/MR650/mr650.ch6/ch6.html#ch6.h4

This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Anderson, Janna Quitney