Elon University
The prediction, in brief:

Charging by capacity makes network use feel like it is free … Charging by capacity keeps the price close to real cost, and minimizes administering a charge per use. The Regional Bell Operating Companies may prefer to apply the “telephony model” to networks. Will they extend capacity pricing to digital computer networks?

Predictor: Branscomb, Lewis M.

Prediction, in context:

The 1995 book “Public Access to the Internet,” edited by Brian Kahin and James Keller carries the chapter, “Balancing the Commercial and Public-Interest Visions of the NII” by Lewis Branscomb, director of the Program on Science, Technology and Public Policy at Harvard University and principal investigator of the Information Infrastructure Project. Branscomb writes: ”Charging access to communications capacity, rather than by end-user fees: Charging by capacity makes network use feel like it is free … Charging by capacity keeps the price close to real cost, and minimizes administering a charge per use. The Regional Bell Operating Companies may prefer to apply the ‘telephony model’ to networks. Will they extend capacity pricing to digital computer networks?”

Date of prediction: January 1, 1995

Topic of prediction: Information Infrastructure

Subtopic: Cost/Pricing

Name of publication: Public Access to the Internet (book)

Title, headline, chapter name: Balancing the Commercial and Public-Interest Visions of the NII

Quote Type: Direct quote

Page number or URL of document at time of study:
Page 29

This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Guarino, Jennifer Anne