If the Internet can provide a very-high-speed, almost error-free transmission path, and if the end-user hosts are extremely intelligent, then the ability to do very sophisticated multimedia communications can be effected by the end users directly, allowing rapid migration of capabilities in the network. If the Internet has this enhanced communications capability, then one can develop high-speed protocols that are shared among users, using the Internet as a high-speed computer “backplane” and not just as a datagram network.
Predictor: McGarty, Terrence P.
Prediction, in context:The 1995 book “Public Access to the Internet,” edited by Brian Kahin and James Keller carries the chapter, “Internet Architectural and Policy Implications for Migration from High-End User to the ‘New User'” by Terrence P. McGarty and Carole Haywood. McGarty is chairman and CEO of The Telemarc Group, Inc. and Haywood is with RAM Mobile Data Inc. They write: ”If the Internet can provide a very-high-speed, almost error-free transmission path, and if the end-user hosts are extremely intelligent, then the ability to do very sophisticated multimedia communications can be effected by the end users directly, allowing rapid migration of capabilities in the network. If the Internet has this enhanced communications capability, then one can develop high-speed protocols that are shared among users, using the Internet as a high-speed computer ‘backplane’ and not just as a datagram network.”
Date of prediction: January 1, 1995
Topic of prediction: Information Infrastructure
Subtopic: General
Name of publication: Public Access to the Internet (book)
Title, headline, chapter name: Internet Architectural and Policy Implications for Migration from High-End User to the ‘New User’
Quote Type: Direct quote
Page number or URL of document at time of study:
Pages 239, 240
This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Guarino, Jennifer Anne