Elon University
The prediction, in brief:

The emerging demand for multimedia services and the potential mobility of the new user present several challenges to the Internet architecture that may change its elements in an evolutionary sense … The two major dimensions along the Internet change axes are lowered costs and higher capabilities of communications and processing. The new paradigm against which the new architecture will be measured is multiple hosts per user rather than multiple users per host.

Predictor: McGarty, Terrence P.

Prediction, in context:

The 1995 book “Public Access to the Internet,” edited by Brian Kahin and James Keller carries the chapter, “Internet Architectural and Policy Implications for Migration from High-End User to the ‘New User'” by Terrence P. McGarty and Carole Haywood. McGarty is chairman and CEO of The Telemarc Group, Inc. and Haywood is with RAM Mobile Data Inc. They write: ”The emerging demand for multimedia services and the potential mobility of the new user present several challenges to the Internet architecture that may change its elements in an evolutionary sense … The two major dimensions along the Internet change axes are lowered costs and higher capabilities of communications and processing. The new paradigm against which the new architecture will be measured is multiple hosts per user rather than multiple users per host.”

Date of prediction: January 1, 1995

Topic of prediction: Information Infrastructure

Subtopic: General

Name of publication: Public Access to the Internet (book)

Title, headline, chapter name: Internet Architectural and Policy Implications for Migration from High-End User to the ‘New User’

Quote Type: Direct quote

Page number or URL of document at time of study:
Pages 243, 244

This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Guarino, Jennifer Anne