The viability of real-time interactive applications such as video conferencing will demand guaranteed bandwidth availability and the ability to synchronize packet delivery, requirements not necessary for e-mail or file transfer. At the same time, casual use is increasing, and many individual users are seeking low-cost access and will tolerate lower quality-of-service parameters. To achieve its growth potential the Internet will require a new pricing model that meets the needs of an increasingly diverse user community.
Predictor: Keller, James
Prediction, in context:The 1995 book “Public Access to the Internet,” edited by Brian Kahin and James Keller carries the chapter, “Public Access Issues: An Introduction” by Keller, a research associate and coordinator of the Information Infrastruture Project at Harvard University. He writes: ”A broadening user base and emerging applications are creating demand for multiple services classes. Quality of service, including low latency, is vital to creating an environment that will support mission-critical business applications. The viability of real-time interactive applications such as video conferencing will demand guaranteed bandwidth availability and the ability to synchronize packet delivery, requirements not necessary for e-mail or file transfer. At the same time, casual use is increasing, and many individual users are seeking low-cost access and will tolerate lower quality-of-service parameters. To achieve its growth potential the Internet will require a new pricing model that meets the needs of an increasingly diverse user community.”
Date of prediction: January 1, 1995
Topic of prediction: Information Infrastructure
Subtopic: Cost/Pricing
Name of publication: Public Access to the Internet (book)
Title, headline, chapter name: Public Access Issues: An Introduction
Quote Type: Direct quote
Page number or URL of document at time of study:
Page 38
This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Guarino, Jennifer Anne