Although the cost of adding capacity is declining rapidly, we think it is very likely that congestion will continue to be a problem, especially as new very-high-bandwidth uses (such as real-time broadcast video) become common. It is becoming increasingly important to consider how congestion in networks such as the Internet should be controlled, and much work is needed.
Predictor: MacKie-Mason, Jeffrey K.
Prediction, in context:The 1995 book “Public Access to the Internet,” edited by Brian Kahin and James Keller carries the chapter, “Pricing the Internet” by Jeffrey K. MacKie-Mason and Hal R. Varian. MacKie is an associate professor of economics and Varian is a professor of economics at the University of Michigan. They write: ”Although the cost of adding capacity is declining rapidly, we think it is very likely that congestion will continue to be a problem, especially as new very-high-bandwidth uses (such as real-time broadcast video) become common. It is becoming increasingly important to consider how congestion in networks such as the Internet should be controlled, and much work is needed.”
Date of prediction: January 1, 1995
Topic of prediction: Information Infrastructure
Subtopic: Bandwidth
Name of publication: Public Access to the Internet (book)
Title, headline, chapter name: Pricing the Internet
Quote Type: Direct quote
Page number or URL of document at time of study:
Page 281
This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Guarino, Jennifer Anne