Elon University
The prediction, in brief:

A more effective software development paradigm and technology base will be developed. This will be founded on the principles of composition rather than construction, solid architectures rather than ad hoc styles, and more direct user involvement in all stages of the software life cycle. The entire technology base developed in this program, including services and software, will be leveraged across the National Challenges, leading to significant economies of scale in the development costs.

Predictor: Information Infrastructure Technology and Applications (IITA) Task Group: High-Performance Computing and Communications Information Technology Subcommittee

Prediction, in context:

In a final draft of their Dec. 1, 1993 recommendations for the National Information Infrastructure, members of the High-Performance Computing Communications [HPCC] and Information Technology subcommittee write the following: ”The HPCC Program’s original focus of enhancing the Nation’s computing and communications capabilities is thus extended to address a broader set of technologies and applications that have an immediate and direct impact on critical information capabilities affecting every individual in the nation. The development of such applications will be predicated on (1) creating the underlying scalable computing technologies for advanced communication services over diverse bitways, effective partitioning of applications across elements of the infrastructure, and other applications support services that can adapt to the capabilities of the available infrastructure; and (2) creating and inserting an intelligent service layer that will significantly broaden the base of computer information providers, developers, and consumers while reducing the existing barriers to accessing, developing, and using advanced computer services and applications. In parallel with these activities, a more effective software development paradigm and technology base will be developed. This will be founded on the principles of composition rather than construction, solid architectures rather than ad hoc styles, and more direct user involvement in all stages of the software life cycle. The entire technology base developed in this program, including services and software, will be leveraged across the National Challenges, leading to significant economies of scale in the development costs.”

Date of prediction: December 1, 1993

Topic of prediction: Information Infrastructure

Subtopic: General

Name of publication: Information Infrastructure Technology and Applications - Report of the IITA Task Group: High-Performance Computing Communications and Information Technology Subcommittee

Title, headline, chapter name: 3. Information Infrastructure Technology and Applications Program Elements-3.1 Overview

Quote Type: Direct quote

Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://www.ifla.org/documents/infopol/us/iita.txt

This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Anderson, Janna Quitney