Elon University
The prediction, in brief:

Using the NII will not be similar to using a telephone system that can be used without much training. It requires sharp minds to develop practical access to information, but also helping people how to utilize it creatively. It is more in the style of setting up an aquarium or learning to play an instrument … Those who are information “literate” will not just survive in this new information environment but will prosper while participating in advancing the frontiers of knowledge.

Predictor: Information Infrastructure Technology and Applications (IITA) Task Group: High-Performance Computing and Communications Information Technology Subcommittee

Prediction, in context:

In a final draft of their Dec. 1, 1993, recommendations for the National Information Infrastructure, members of the High-Performance Computing Communications and Information Technology subcommittee write the following: ”Using the NII will not be similar to using a telephone system that can be used without much training. It requires sharp minds to develop practical access to information, but also helping people how to utilize it creatively. It is more in the style of setting up an aquarium or learning to play an instrument. It requires familiarity with the technology and understanding of its potential application, which may vary by individual and purpose. Hence training comes first and then a host of applications emerge for individuals, from the very young to senior citizens, to acquire information, learn from it and to connect with others. Information plays a vital role in every aspect of life and work. Those who are information ‘literate’ will not just survive in this new information environment but will prosper while participating in advancing the frontiers of knowledge.”

Date of prediction: December 1, 1993

Topic of prediction: Controversial Issues

Subtopic: Digital Divide

Name of publication: Information Infrastructure Technology and Applications - Report of the IITA Task Group: High-Performance Computing Communications and Information Technology Subcommittee

Title, headline, chapter name: A.8. National Science Foundation

Quote Type: Direct quote

Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://www.ifla.org/documents/infopol/us/iita.txt

This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Kohlhagen, Kelly C.