Elon University
The prediction, in brief:

By whatever combination of means, we will deliver broadband services to all of our customers within the next 10 years. We’ll deploy it in each location and each market differently, depending on the economics. But we will deliver it to all of our customers.

Predictor: Smith, Ray

Prediction, in context:

In a 1995 article for Wired magazine, David Kline interviews Bell Atlantic CEO Ray Smith. Following is an excerpt from the discussion: ”Wired: Do you think eventually there’ll be one common architecture?” ”Smith: There will be. But I can’t predict whether it’ll be fiber-to-the-curb or fiber-to-the-node plus coax. But probably those two will be the most common. But who knows? Remember, the capacity of wireless cable is 28 GHz. That’s huge. It’s gigantic. If you can get that to work well – and be interactive, too, which we have high hopes for – then it has the capacity for as many channels as you want. If that develops, we won’t have to build out all the other things. But by whatever combination of means, we will deliver broadband services to all of our customers within the next 10 years. We’ll deploy it in each location and each market differently, depending on the economics. But we will deliver it to all of our customers.”

Date of prediction: January 1, 1994

Topic of prediction: Information Infrastructure

Subtopic: Bandwidth

Name of publication: Wired

Title, headline, chapter name: Align and Conquer: The Smartest Telco CEO, Bell Atlantic’s Ray Smith, Reveals What Really Torpedoed His Merger With John Malone’s TCI, Why the Telcos Are Going to Kick Cable’s Butts, and Precisely How the I-Way is Going to Reach Your Home

Quote Type: Direct quote

Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://www.wired.com/wired/archive/3.02/smith_pr.html

This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Anderson, Janna Quitney