Elon University
The prediction, in brief:

The fundamental question facing America Online is not whether it can keep up with excessive demand in the future. It’s whether there’s going to be any demand at all.

Predictor: Nollinger, Mark

Prediction, in context:

In a 1995 article in Wired magazine, Mark Nollinger writes: ”Capacity problems might indeed be a thing of the past, observers say, but not necessarily because of any major improvements in AOL technology. The fundamental question facing America Online is not whether it can keep up with excessive demand in the future. It’s whether there’s going to be any demand at all.”

Date of prediction: September 1, 1994

Topic of prediction: Economic structures

Subtopic: E-commerce

Name of publication: Wired

Title, headline, chapter name: America, Online! America Online Has Been on a Rocket Ride, Now it Would Like to Morph Into an ‘Interactive Service Company’ Before Microsoft and the Web Eat its Lunch

Quote Type: Direct quote

Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://www.wired.com/wired/archive/3.09/aol_pr.html

This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Stotler, Larry