Elon University
The prediction, in brief:

Why not send a fax? It’s far more universal than e-mail – we not only find fax machines everywhere, but they can all speak to one another. Moreover, they can handle diagrams, pictures and any language … I find it easier to just scribble a note on a plain piece of paper and send it over fax … Network mail, even decade-old e-mail, lacks warmth. The paper doesn’t age, the signatures don’t fade. Perhaps a future generation will save their romances on floppy disks and Internet Uniform Record Locators. Give me a shoebox of old letters.

Predictor: Stoll, Clifford

Prediction, in context:

In his 1995 book “Silicon Snake Oil,” writer Clifford Stoll shares his take on the Internet’s future, discussing e-mail: ”What a demonic way to communicate. When it works perfectly, messages flash to their destination in a minute. But make a trivial mistake or have the bad luck of a system failure, and the mail is lost without a trace. Why not send a fax? It’s far more universal than e-mail – we not only find fax machines everywhere, but they can all speak to one another. Moreover, they can handle diagrams, pictures and any language … I find it easier to just scribble a note on a plain piece of paper and send it over fax … Network mail, even decade-old e-mail, lacks warmth. The paper doesn’t age, the signatures don’t fade. Perhaps a future generation will save their romances on floppy disks and Internet Uniform Record Locators. Give me a shoebox of old letters.”

Biography:

Clifford Stoll was an astrophysicist who also wrote the influential books “Silicon Snake Oil” (1995) and “The Cuckoo’s Egg.” A long-time network user, Stoll made “Silicon Snake Oil” his platform for finding fault with the Internet hype of the early 1990s. He pointed out the pitfalls of a completely networked society and offered arguments in opposition to the hype. (Author/Editor/Journalist.)

Date of prediction: January 1, 1995

Topic of prediction: Communication

Subtopic: E-mail

Name of publication: Silicon Snake Oil

Title, headline, chapter name: An Inquiry into Mail, an Experiment with the Post Office, and a Comment on Cryptography

Quote Type: Direct quote

Page number or URL of document at time of study:
Pages 157, 158

This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Anderson, Janna Quitney