It is an investment that will grow and weave itself into our homes and businesses, becoming part of the fabric of the nation’s economy and everyday life as much as the telephone is today. Beause of this tight bonding, the NII would be definitely “ours,” assuming the United States is the first to set one up; other countries would have difficulty exploiting it for their own competitive advantage the way they have so many other technologies that originated in the United States.
Predictor: Dertouzos, Michael
Prediction, in context:In a 1991 article for Technology Review, MIT researcher/administrator Michael Dertouzos writes: ”Economically, the NII [National Information Infrastructure] should be regarded as a major national investment – one that undoubtedly involves risk but also carried the potential to improve the U.S. economy. And it is an investment that will grow and weave itself into our homes and businesses, becoming part of the fabric of the nation’s economy and everyday life as much as the telephone is today. Beause of this tight bonding, the NII would be definitely ‘ours,’ assuming the United States is the first to set one up; other countries would have difficulty exploiting it for their own competitive advantage the way they have so many other technologies that originated in the United States.”
Biography:Michael Dertouzos was director of the MIT Laboratory for Computer Science and the author of “The Unfinished Revolution.” He led a project intended to make computers adapt to people. He outlined a comprehensive proposal for a national information “infrastructure” in a 1991 article for Technology Review. (Research Scientist/Illuminator.)
Date of prediction: January 1, 1991
Topic of prediction: Economic structures
Subtopic: General
Name of publication: Technology Review
Title, headline, chapter name: Building the Information Marketplace
Quote Type: Direct quote
Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://web3.infotrac.galegroup.com/itw/infomark/237/651/57953601w3/purl=rc1_EAIM_0_A9329382&dyn=5!xrn_1_0_A9329382?sw_aep=ncliveec
This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Anderson, Janna Quitney