Elon University
The prediction, in brief:

If network activity becomes a major form of human communication, people may associate more freely online because they are not slowed by geographical or temporal limits. How will our institutions (government, education, religious) change to accommodate these new associations? … If people can create their own group identity in the form of network-based alliances, how will this change offline institutions?

Predictor: December, John

Prediction, in context:

In a 1994 article for Computer-Mediated Communication magazine, John December writes: ”If network activity becomes a major form of human communication, people may associate more freely online because they are not slowed by geographical or temporal limits. How will our institutions (government, education, religious) change to accommodate these new associations? Institutions often act as a force to help people achieve a group identity, but if people can create their own group identity in the form of network-based alliances, how will this change offline institutions? What will happen to those institutions whose power and influence are usurped by groups performing the same function online?”

Biography:

John December’s publications include articles and books about the World Wide Web, Internet and Java. From 1985 to 1989, he developed software and graphical user interfaces to analyze aircraft requirements for military missions at Boeing. He later became president of December Communications, an online Web-publishing, presentations, and consulting company based in Milwaukee, Wis. (Research Scientist/Illuminator.)

Date of prediction: January 1, 1994

Topic of prediction: Community/Culture

Subtopic: Relationships

Name of publication: Computer-Mediated Communication Magazine

Title, headline, chapter name: Challenges for a Webbed Society

Quote Type: Direct quote

Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://www.december.com/cmc/mag/1994/nov/websoc.html

This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Anderson, Janna Quitney