We expect cryptography to become more common in the future. While this will reduce or eliminate certain classes of attacks – picking up passwords by monitoring a LAN will be impossible, as will most forms of address impersonation – new problems will arise. Key servers, for example, will need to be very secure. Password-guessing attacks may even become easier if the servers arenÕt designed properly. From an organizational perspective, name space planning needs to start now. A scheme that today suffices to identify a relative handful of users with cryptographic keys may not scale to an arena where there are millions of key-holders.
Predictor: Bellovin, Steven M.
Prediction, in context:In their 1994 book “Firewalls and Internet Security,” Steven Bellovin and William Cheswick write: ”In general, we expect cryptography to become more common in the future. While this will reduce or eliminate certain classes of attacks – picking up passwords by monitoring a LAN will be impossible, as will most forms of address impersonation – new problems will arise. Key servers, for example, will need to be very secure. Password-guessing attacks may even become easier if the servers arenÕt designed properly. From an organizational perspective, name space planning needs to start now. A scheme that today suffices to identify a relative handful of users with cryptographic keys may not scale to an arena where there are millions of key-holders.”
Date of prediction: January 1, 1994
Topic of prediction: Communication
Subtopic: Security/Encryption
Name of publication: Firewalls and Internet Security
Title, headline, chapter name: Chapter 14: Where Do We Go From Here?
Quote Type: Direct quote
Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://www.wilyhacker.com/1e/
This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Anderson, Janna Quitney